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HFC 14 - Tanner vs Tragedy 3
Pre-fight Analysis w/ Predictions
Hello Montreal!!! It is time… The long awaited trilogy match has been set. The fighters are in the building. HFC FANS ARE YOU READYYYYYYY!!!???!?!? The HFC 185 Middleweight Title is on the line tonight!!
The story between these two go back to December 14th, 2019 at SMASH: Tanner vs Tragedy 1. Formerly known as the SMASH FIGHTING CHAMPIONSHIP, the HFC would see a fight, that would end up sparking an on-going rivalry in what pits two fighters between each other for a 3rd time. A 3rd time is needed to settle the score when they’ve only tasted defeat at the hands of each other. In the first fight, Trage “Edy” Tragedy enjoyed the feeling of his hand being raised. He took care of business in the 2nd round via armbar. Riding the momentum of a 6 fight winning streak, he took out Emry Lane in the first round via knockout. This would earn him a title shot where he’d finish the fight in under an amazing 25 seconds with a wicked superman punch, what a way to become champion! Rob Tanner didn’t look back either since he first lost, as he put together 2 straight knockout victories, earning a title shot at Tragedy in what would see them match up for a 2nd time. In an unbelievable fight, Tanner would have a dominant 2nd round, with two knockdowns and would form a SEVERE cut on Tragedy. Tragedy handled the first round pretty easily, and did the same in the 3rd. Could very well be 28-28 on the judges scorecard going into round 4, could also very well be 29-28 Tragedy. In a round much different than the others, they fought at slightly slower pace. The cutman did all he could in the corner between rounds, but the blood was oozing from the cut formed in the 2nd round at a rate that judge Arvi Len said, “made me feel so nauseous I almost threw up on the scorecards”. This forced the fight to be stopped in the 4th round via TKO (cut). That brings us here now, where Rob Tanner has had two successful title defenses, and Tragedy comes in riding a 2 fight winning streak both by knockout.
Highlighted by an unbelievable rest of the card, let’s get right into the action!
City: Montreal
Arena: Hard Knocks - Montreal (3,000)
Rules: MMA
Judging Criteria: 10 Point Must
Full Fight Card:
*Main Event*: (185) Rob Tanner vs Trage Tragedy
Co-Main Event: (170) Herlock Von Ryan v Gunner Larsson
(205) Habib Putins v Rakeem Marley
(185) Simeoni Jukola v Daniel Pawlick
(170) Ryo Hamada v Rovi Flexner
(170) Sergei Volkov v Syd Sydney
(185) Tommy Bean v Rashid Rubson
(170) Colby Vovigton v Nathan Dylan
(155) Leon Hooker v Marco Silva
(145) Jon Rambo v Cranky Smith
HFC 14 Undercard:
** = Feature Prelim Bout
(145) Jon Rambo (7-6) vs Cranky Smith (5-0)
Are the fight fans of the HFC READY FOR SOME FIGHTS? Our undercard kicks off in the featherweight division between Jon Rambo (7-6) and Cranky Smith (5-0). Cranky Smith is coming into this fight with an undefeated record w 4 of those victories coming on the hands of his submission prowess. Jon Rambo also has a nice bottom game, but he needs to utilize his standup to win this one.
Prediction: Cranky Smith, 1RD Submission, improves to 6-0
(155) Leon Hooker (6-6) vs Marco “Conmigo” Silva(7-2)
Our next undercard fight is a lightweight contest between Leon Hooker (6-6) and Marco “Conmigo” Silva (7-2). Leon Hooker has lost 4 of his 6 fights via decision, so he’s definitely no easy contest. He has fantastic boxing and can catch you easily, as has shown evident by his knockouts. Silva on the other hand, has enjoyed the tune of 5 knockout victories, and will be looking to add another one to that list.
Prediction: Marco “Conmigo” Silva, RD2 KO, improves to 8-2.
(170) Colby “Chaos” Vovigton (2-4) vs Nathan “Wolfie” Dylan (4-5)
The welterweight division finds itself home for this matchup, as Colby “Chaos” Vovigton (2-4) squares off against Nathan “Wolfie” Dylan (4-5). Both enjoy solid wrestling, however Vovigton holds the clear advantage in that regard. Nathan Dylan has shown some solid takedown defense that can help him unload some of that superb boxing we see from him. Will it lean towards the wrestler or striker in this matchup?
Prediction: Nathan Dylan, 2RD KO, improves to 5-5.
(185) Tommy Bean (5-0) vs Rashid Rubson (3-3)
Next up we have a middleweight fight between Tommy Bean (5-0) and Rashid Rubson (3-3). Tommy Bean has been an absolute thunder and lightning, shut and close type of fighter in the early part of his career. He’s scored 5 straight knockouts, with the longest of them going for 1:49 into the first round. Will the step up in competition be too much for him? Look across the cage to Rashid Rubson, who comes in 3-3, albeit on a two fight losing streak. Rubson will be looking to get himself back into the win column in a big way tonight.
Prediction: Tommy Bean, RD1 KO, improves to 6-0.
** (170) Sergei Volkov (4-0) vs Syd “Canguru” Sydney (4-3)
Our feature prelim bout has a fantastic one in store from you. The welterweight division is host to a matchup between Sergei Volkov (4-0) and Syd “Canguru” Sydney (4-3). Sergei Volkov has demonstrated fantastic wrestling to earn him 4 brutal KO finishes from the top. Sydney is no fool to the ground either. He has the wrestling to combat the takedown attempts, and maybe enough to survive the onslaught. If he keeps it standing, he may end Sergei’s undefeated streak.
Prediction: Sergei Volkov, RD2 KO, improves to 5-0.
Main Card:
(170) Ryo Hamada (3-1) vs Rovi Flexner (5-2)
WELCOME TO THE KICKOFF OF THE HFC 14: TANNER VS TRAGEDY 3 MAIN CARD. It begins in the welterweight division, as Ryo Hamada (3-1) goes up against Rovi Flexner (5-2). Hamada comes into this fight with 2 submission victories and a brown belt in Brazilian Jiu Jitsu. Flexner however, has great wrestling to combat the takedown threat and way better stand up. I see it going to the fighter who can dictate where the fight will take place tonight.
Prediction: Rovi Flexner, 1RD KO, improves to 6-2
(185) Simeoni Jukola (4-0) vs Daniel “Dominator” Pawlick (4-5)
The second fight on this main card pins two middleweights against each other. Simeoni Jukola (4-0) has been on an absolute tear, winning 4 straight fights, 3 via knockout and one submission victory due to strikes. He’s been just outright scary to fight on the feet. Daniel “Dominator” Pawlick is going to have his work cut out for him, as the odds are truly stacked against him in this fight.
Prediction: SImeoni Jukola, 1RD KO, improves to 5-0.
(205) Habib “CHiken” Putins (6-4) vs Rakeem “Jamaican Beast” Marley (4-1)
Our next fight finds us in the light heavyweight division. Habib “CHiken” Putins (6-4) matches up against Rakeem “Jamaican Beast” Marley (4-1). Marley is the definite favorite to win this fight, as the two met before at “The Island” in the first round of their 205 tournament back in February. Marley won via 1st round knockout in less than 10 seconds.
Prediction: Rakeem “Jamaican Beast” Marley, 1RD KO, improves to 5-1
Co-Main Event: (170) Herlock “The Hurt” Von Ryan (9-4) vs Gunner “Gunni” Larsson (10-4)
Welcome everyone… to the CO-MAIN EVENT OF THE EVENING!!! We have a welterweight bout coming up, as Herlock “The Hurt” Von Ryan (9-4) battles against Gunner “Gunni” Larsson (10-4). Von Ryan comes into this fight on a two fight winning streak, earning Fight of the Night honors against John Bessant at HFC 4. Larsson has seen better days over the last two fights, seeing him be finished both times by submission. He has shown susceptibility to get caught, albeit having a nice submission attack himself. Herlock Von Ryan definitely has the better stand up but will be outclassed if the fight hits the floor. He does have a shot at cinching up a submission with his purple belt in Brazilian Jiu Jitsu, but Larsson has phenomenal control.
Prediction: Gunner Larson, RD2 TKO, improves to 11-4.
Main Event: (185) Rob Tanner (8-1) v Trage “Edy” Tragedy (10-1)
*HFC MIDDLEWEIGHT CHAMPIONSHIP*
LADIES AND GENTLEMEN!!! WELCOME TO THE HFC 14 MAIN EVENT OF THE EVENING!!! The explosives out of Montreal, Quebec, Canada have yet to be detonated, as fireworks are sure to blow the roof off this building here tonight. Hard Knocks - Montreal is host to witness a phenomenal matchup for the HFC 185 Middleweight Championship! As usual, we’ll be taking a deeper dive into the two fighters headlining the main event of the evening.
Striking: You don’t want to blink for this matchup, as both fighters hold a combined record of 18-2. Of those 18 victories, 17 of them have been knockouts. 17 knockouts combined between the two! It’s hard to say who has the clear advantage here. Rob Tanner’s (8-1) boxing is extremely underrated, as he has a vicious uppercut who’s taken many victims. His Thai boxing and kicks are fantastic, but we usually see him utilize his hands. Trage Tragedy (10-1) comes in with fantastic boxing and vicious head kicks. He’s taken 9 casualties via KO, with one submission. It’ll be a fantastic matchup to see, however if Tragedy can utilize his kicks and slow down the footwork and rhythm of Tanner, it can be a long night.
ADVANTAGE: Very, very slight advantage to Tragedy, simply due to more utilization of kicks.
Grappling: When it comes to the grappling, you definitely see a larger discrepancy between the two combat athletes. Trage Tragedy comes in with a great wrestling foundation, and holds a purple belt in Jiu Jitsu. He used his wrestling to great effect against Tanner in both of their fights, and have shown who holds the advantage. It’ll be the same going into this fight.
ADVANTAGE: Tragedy
Experience: Both fighters have nearly identical records. While Trage Tragedy holds two more wins, he’s only had 6 total different opponents. He’s also had 5 fights in the QFC. Rob Tanner has fought 7 different opponents in 2 less fights, and has also held and defended the title for longer.
ADVANTAGE: Tanner
Prediction: Rob Tanner, 2RD KO, improves to 9-1. Retains HFC Middleweight Championship.
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