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TPowell
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Still, if you set 100% prediction to try takedowns wouldn't your guy just sit there with his hands at his waist and be able to defend takedowns rather easily even with a slight skill discrepancy?
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That is ridiculous to me. What were the primaries of the 2 fighters?
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Interesting, glad I posted this. I like using it because I typically feel like I can predict pretty well but if it isn't very effective then I would just assume ditching it obviously.
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Hmmm I always use it. I make sure I always adapt to the fight just in case but I definitely wasn't aware most didn't use it.
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I've always been confused EXACTLY how effective it is. If my guy is a 10 in wrestling and a 12 in TDD for example and I go up against a 12-13 in wrestling and 15 in TD and I predict 100% try takedowns (and adapt to fight checked to be fair), how effective will I be at preventing TD's? Trying to determine the feasibility of a Demian Maia type build in this game now.
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Tycoon cash on UFC fights this weekend (11/18)
TPowell replied to TPowell's topic in Bookmakers & MMA Betting
Thought Means might have snuck it out on the cards but couldn't argue with Belal getting that decision (even though it hurt my wallet) -
Only problem with that is it'll be harder to build up your boxing. I would do clinch, str def, and takedown defense. You can always come back later and build up your defensive grappling/transitions to get your wrestling primary up with secondaries.
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Last thing I'll post on this fight. I see Mike leans toward Bojan and has a unit on this fight going the distance which I can see for sure. Matthews DOES try to out-physical guys on the ground a little too much but he's still a brown belt in BJJ (probably not in great gyms) but he has decent technique. I think Bojan will flick out some of those powerless kicks and then try to grind against the cage and overpower Matthews. The issue is that I believe Matthews could get the better of these striking exchanges and going up to 170 pounds helps an already good gas tank that Matthews has. Bojan is solid in his own right but in a fight going 3 rounds, I'll take the better conditioned guy and the guy with the better wrestling and more than likely striking even if he may be the weaker guy (which I doubt looking at the weigh-ins). My only concern is if Bojan DOES stuff the takedowns, he may be able to edge Matthews on the scorecards but this price is way too low and completely based around a couple bad performances in a row on paper (picked apart and finished by Lee and then the real stinker vs Holbrook).
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This will be Jake's first fight in the UFC at 170 but looking at him in weigh-ins, he looks to be the bigger guy between himself and Bojan. At his age, Matthews was always going to have to go up a division eventually. He is incredibly thick at 5'9 and very powerful. He struggled with Holbrook's physicality in his last fight but I think him not being 100% had a lot to do with that, as well as Holbrook being a big LW that is a solid grinder. With Bojan, he doesn't have much to offer wrestling wise. He doesn't defend take-downs well at all and his TD's are pretty easily stopped. I also don't think the UFC sends anyone over to Australia that they think has a good chance at delivering Jake's 3rd loss in a row. The guy is still a big draw for Australia cards and 3 straight losses is close to the hammer. When you look at Jake's losses outside of Holbrook, it was to Lee who big brothered him in the wrestling/strength department and to Vick who he lit up on the feet for a few minutes before eating some shots in the clinch and getting guillotined by the super long Vick. None of these are ways that Bojan can beat him though IMO. I think people will be surprised with the striking as well. His striking really hasn't cost him any fights in the UFC despite being better known for his wrestling.
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Matthews/Bojan Starting to come around on Matthews I think. Bojan is tough as nails and throws a solid leg kick but his wrestling is very subpar. In a nutshell, he's a tough guy who gets by on his heart and physicals instead of his skillset. When I first read Jake Matthews was coming off dual hip surgery since his last fight, I thought about fading here but then something else happened. Reading interviews, he said he had never been a flexible guy and the grappling on the mat always killed him. He fratured his right hip in that Kevin Lee fight in July and then fought Holbrook in November (more than likely because it was in Australia). He then had surgery on that right hip in December and then the left side in February. He talks about always feeling like something was restricting him from stretching (hip wise) and then he learned after the Lee fight that the cartilage was gone so it was bone on bone limiting his flexibility. I'm getting ready to watch this Holbrook fight again but I'm really coming around to the fact that Matthews was nowhere near 100% in that fight with Holbrook. When you look at his other fights, he beats lower tier guys (usually gets the finish) but falls short against contenders (Vick and Lee). Not a problem here though. Bojan will NEVER be a top 10 fighter at WW or anywhere else. I was thinking about passing at first, then the over, now I'm thinking Matthews -135 is fine. Bojan's only shot here is the crazy sub or decision and I don't think Aussie's let Jake lose 3 straight and possibly his UFC spot
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Tycoon cash on UFC fights this weekend (11/18)
TPowell replied to TPowell's topic in Bookmakers & MMA Betting
BOL -
1 Year anniversity leaves me with random thoughts
TPowell replied to mmagladiators's topic in General Game Discussion
Bad time for me to come back it sounds like -
Funny thing was everybody laughing at them for not chasing stars and offering/trading for guys like Cousins and Carmelo. They were very smart in how they built their team IMO. No headcases or drama and a lot of young talent. As a Louisville fan, I'm hoping Rozier keeps improving
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Werdum attacks Colby Covington with boomerang
TPowell replied to skull's topic in General MMA / UFC Forum
Did he talk **** first to Werdum or did Werdum pop off about his Brazil comments? -
Elias isn't a very skilled guy but he is decent all around and has the heart and athletic ability to get by a lot of guys.